Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Couturier on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 51.9% vs Couturier 55.6% (-3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eller 58.2%
Defensive zone
Eller 71.8%
Neutral zone
Eller 68.0%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 66.2%
66.2%
33.8%
Eller
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Eller
Couturier
Last 8: Eller 2-6 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
0
3
Eller
Couturier
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Eller
Couturier
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Couturier
0
1
Eller
Couturier
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (650)
55.1% (1,008)
-2.3%
Power Play
69.2% (13)
64.1% (142)
+5.1%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (88)
53.3% (45)
-7.8%
On penalty kill, Couturier has a +7.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Eller is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (526).
Eller shoots left. Couturier is 55.3% vs left-shot opponents (790).
Home / Away
Eller
Couturier
Home
52.6% (340)
58.1% (609)
Away
51.8% (411)
53.9% (586)
By Period
Eller
Couturier
P1
52.4%
55.3%
P2
54.1%
55.8%
P3
50.0%
57.4%
OT
50.0%
45.0%
Final 5 min
50.3%
57.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
52.2%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
56.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2025 | 3 | 19:49 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 3 | 18:16 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 2 | 12:59 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 1 | 13:30 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 3 | 14:28 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 3 | 11:31 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 3 | 01:10 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 2 | 04:17 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |