Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 52.0% vs Couturier 53.2% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Couturier leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Couturier 74.5%
Defensive zone
Eller 83.4%
Neutral zone
Couturier 53.8%
Result
Sean Couturier favored at 50.9%
49.1%
50.9%
Eller
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
Eller
Couturier
Last 10: Eller 5-5 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
1
3
Eller
Couturier
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
3
0
Eller
Couturier
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Couturier
1
2
Eller
Couturier
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (742)
53.8% (1,003)
-1.0%
Power Play
67.6% (34)
56.4% (202)
+11.2%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (156)
42.7% (89)
+3.5%
On power play, Eller has a +11.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Eller is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (599).
Eller shoots left. Couturier is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (823).
Home / Away
Eller
Couturier
Home
54.5% (448)
54.4% (680)
Away
50.2% (484)
52.4% (614)
By Period
Eller
Couturier
P1
52.8%
56.3%
P2
50.9%
51.8%
P3
53.4%
52.2%
OT
50.0%
60.9%
Final 5 min
55.6%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
52.3%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2024 | 2 | 16:30 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 8, 2024 | 3 | 02:34 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 8, 2024 | 3 | 02:27 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 8, 2024 | 1 | 02:09 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 3 | 19:39 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 3 | 13:23 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 3 | 07:01 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 2 | 19:16 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 2 | 05:18 | Defensive | Lars Eller |