Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 49.3% vs Aho 47.1% (+4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aho 60.3%
Defensive zone
Eller 80.1%
Neutral zone
Eller 61.9%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 72.8%
72.8%
27.2%
Eller
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Eller
Aho
Last 5: Eller 3-2 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
2
1
Eller
Aho
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Eller
Aho
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (749)
45.5% (165)
+4.6%
Power Play
46.1% (76)
42.9% (7)
+3.2%
On even strength, Eller has a +4.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Eller is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (654).
Eller shoots left. Aho is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (98).
Home / Away
Eller
Aho
Home
51.4% (465)
50.6% (79)
Away
47.3% (491)
40.9% (93)
By Period
Eller
Aho
P1
47.9%
45.9%
P2
51.6%
48.0%
P3
47.7%
41.5%
OT
62.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
46.4%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
49.3%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
45.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2018 | 3 | 14:32 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Mar 30, 2018 | 2 | 18:15 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 30, 2018 | 2 | 03:15 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 30, 2018 | 2 | 01:21 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 30, 2018 | 1 | 17:54 | Defensive | Lars Eller |