Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Aho on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 52.0% vs Aho 53.8% (-1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aho 81.9%
Defensive zone
Eller 85.4%
Neutral zone
Eller 51.9%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 52.4%
47.6%
52.4%
Eller
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Eller
Aho
Last 8: Eller 4-4 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
0
4
Eller
Aho
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
3
0
Eller
Aho
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
1
0
Eller
Aho
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (742)
51.2% (785)
+1.6%
Power Play
67.6% (34)
63.8% (213)
+3.8%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (156)
57.9% (57)
-11.7%
On penalty kill, Aho has a +11.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Eller is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (599).
Eller shoots left. Aho is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (649).
Home / Away
Eller
Aho
Home
54.5% (448)
54.9% (548)
Away
50.2% (484)
53.3% (507)
By Period
Eller
Aho
P1
52.8%
52.8%
P2
50.9%
58.9%
P3
53.4%
50.6%
OT
50.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
55.6%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
52.3%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2024 | 3 | 18:42 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 3 | 07:24 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 3 | 07:18 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 1 | 03:54 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 13, 2024 | OT | 00:22 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 3 | 13:21 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 2 | 04:31 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 3 | 01:20 | Neutral | Lars Eller |