Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 49.5% vs Aho 52.2% (-2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aho 81.5%
Defensive zone
Eller 59.1%
Neutral zone
Aho 53.4%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 60.1%
39.9%
60.1%
Eller
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Eller
Aho
Last 7: Eller 5-2 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
1
2
Eller
Aho
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
3
0
Eller
Aho
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
1
0
Eller
Aho
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (786)
51.6% (819)
-0.5%
Power Play
45.0% (80)
58.4% (173)
-13.4%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (165)
46.3% (67)
-2.7%
On power play, Aho has a +13.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Eller is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (677).
Eller shoots left. Aho is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (674).
Home / Away
Eller
Aho
Home
51.2% (510)
53.9% (568)
Away
47.8% (521)
50.7% (491)
By Period
Eller
Aho
P1
50.7%
55.4%
P2
49.0%
51.2%
P3
48.3%
50.9%
OT
56.3%
28.6%
Final 5 min
45.8%
45.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
49.5%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2022 | 3 | 03:36 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 28, 2022 | 2 | 11:16 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 28, 2022 | 2 | 10:42 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 28, 2022 | 1 | 08:09 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Mar 3, 2022 | 3 | 11:46 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 28, 2021 | 3 | 07:44 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 28, 2021 | 2 | 07:56 | Offensive | Lars Eller |