Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.2% vs 52.5%). Look for Eller on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Eller wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 52.9% vs Crosby 52.4% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Crosby 70.9%
Defensive zone
Eller 59.9%
Neutral zone
Eller 50.7%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 51.5%
48.5%
51.5%
Eller
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Eller
Crosby
Last 7: Eller 5-2 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Eller
Crosby
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
2
1
Eller
Crosby
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
2
0
Eller
Crosby
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (803)
50.9% (1,345)
+2.4%
Power Play
55.8% (86)
59.5% (439)
-3.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (90)
44.7% (103)
+5.3%
On penalty kill, Eller has a +5.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Eller is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (610).
Eller shoots left. Crosby is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,180).
Home / Away
Eller
Crosby
Home
52.8% (525)
53.9% (941)
Away
53.7% (454)
51.2% (946)
By Period
Eller
Crosby
P1
53.9%
49.3%
P2
54.8%
54.5%
P3
50.9%
53.9%
OT
50.0%
48.6%
Final 5 min
51.2%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
53.2%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
52.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2014 | OT | 03:13 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 27, 2014 | 2 | 12:00 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 27, 2014 | 2 | 08:16 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 27, 2014 | 1 | 08:23 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Nov 23, 2013 | 3 | 19:57 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Nov 23, 2013 | 3 | 17:43 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 23, 2013 | 1 | 03:46 | Defensive | Lars Eller |