Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.7% vs 53.0%). Look for Eller on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 10 meetings). Eller wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 53.3% vs Crosby 52.8% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Eller leads 13-7 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Crosby 82.3%
Defensive zone
Eller 84.3%
Neutral zone
Eller 52.6%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 57.9%
57.9%
42.1%
Eller
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
7
(20 meetings)
13
7
Eller
Crosby
Last 10: Eller 5-5 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
1
5
Eller
Crosby
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
10
0
Eller
Crosby
10 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Eller
Crosby
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (865)
52.5% (1,443)
+1.3%
Power Play
57.1% (21)
54.7% (369)
+2.4%
Penalty Kill
52.6% (137)
55.9% (34)
-3.3%
On penalty kill, Crosby has a +3.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Eller is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (682).
Eller shoots left. Crosby is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,199).
Home / Away
Eller
Crosby
Home
56.4% (486)
53.0% (931)
Away
51.2% (537)
53.0% (915)
By Period
Eller
Crosby
P1
55.1%
50.3%
P2
55.3%
55.4%
P3
51.7%
53.3%
OT
27.3%
47.4%
Final 5 min
51.0%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
53.7%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
53.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2023 | 3 | 17:48 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 22, 2023 | 3 | 10:48 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 22, 2023 | 1 | 09:58 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 22, 2023 | 1 | 09:54 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 3 | 19:21 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 3 | 12:28 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 3 | 07:45 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 3 | 05:17 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 2 | 13:44 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 2 | 11:00 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 2 | 06:03 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 2 | 02:37 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 1 | 15:02 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 1 | 14:36 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 1 | 06:04 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 1 | 06:00 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Nov 9, 2022 | 2 | 09:52 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 9, 2022 | 2 | 04:54 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 9, 2022 | 1 | 14:37 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 9, 2022 | 1 | 12:03 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |