Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Eller wins 57.0% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 55.7% vs Crosby 55.5% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Crosby 74.6%
Defensive zone
Eller 74.8%
Neutral zone
Crosby 51.0%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 50.1%
50.1%
49.9%
Eller
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Eller
Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
1
Eller
Crosby
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
1
0
Eller
Crosby
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (434)
53.7% (984)
+2.8%
Power Play
77.8% (9)
64.7% (241)
+13.1%
Penalty Kill
56.5% (46)
64.3% (14)
-7.8%
On power play, Eller has a +13.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Eller is 57.0% vs left-shot opponents (302).
Eller shoots left. Crosby is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (879).
Home / Away
Eller
Crosby
Home
53.1% (211)
56.9% (649)
Away
59.7% (278)
54.9% (590)
By Period
Eller
Crosby
P1
55.4%
55.8%
P2
58.1%
53.2%
P3
57.1%
58.7%
Final 5 min
60.5%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
56.9%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
55.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2026 | 3 | 12:12 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 3 | 07:18 | Defensive | Lars Eller |