Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (73% H2H, 89 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 50.5% vs Crosby 53.5% (-3.0%)
H2H factor
Crosby leads 120-116 in 236 meetings
Offensive zone
Crosby 71.8%
Defensive zone
Eller 78.1%
Neutral zone
Eller 55.6%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 52.0%
52.0%
48.0%
Eller
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
116
-
120
(236 meetings)
116
120
Eller
Crosby
Last 10: Eller 5-5 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
24
65
Eller
Crosby
89 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
54
17
Eller
Crosby
71 total
Neutral Zone
Even
38
38
Eller
Crosby
76 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (10,296)
52.8% (17,990)
-1.7%
Power Play
52.8% (621)
57.4% (4,733)
-4.6%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (1,751)
47.1% (765)
-0.4%
On power play, Crosby has a +4.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Eller is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (8,123).
Eller shoots left. Crosby is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (14,851).
Home / Away
Eller
Crosby
Home
51.4% (6,118)
55.0% (11,972)
Away
49.7% (6,578)
52.0% (11,535)
By Period
Eller
Crosby
P1
51.2%
53.6%
P2
50.1%
53.9%
P3
50.2%
53.3%
OT
56.7%
49.6%
Final 5 min
49.6%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
50.5%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2026 | 3 | 12:12 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 3 | 07:18 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 3 | 13:11 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 3 | 10:57 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 3 | 03:35 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Mar 22, 2023 | 3 | 17:48 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 22, 2023 | 3 | 10:48 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 22, 2023 | 1 | 09:58 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 22, 2023 | 1 | 09:54 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 3 | 19:21 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 3 | 12:28 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 3 | 07:45 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 3 | 05:17 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 2 | 13:44 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 2 | 11:00 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 2 | 06:03 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 2 | 02:37 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 1 | 15:02 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 1 | 14:36 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 1 | 06:04 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |