Scouting Report
Tyler Johnson holds a +11.3% FO% edge overall. Eller wins 46.9% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 49.5% vs Johnson 53.6% (-11.3%)
Offensive zone
Johnson 64.1%
Defensive zone
Eller 78.0%
Neutral zone
Eller 53.5%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 55.8%
55.8%
44.2%
Eller
Johnson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (786)
61.9% (42)
-10.8%
Power Play
45.0% (80)
55.6% (9)
-10.6%
On even strength, Johnson has a +10.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Eller is 46.9% vs right-shot opponents (354).
Eller shoots left. Johnson is 61.8% vs left-shot opponents (34).
Home / Away
Eller
Johnson
Home
51.2% (510)
52.0% (25)
Away
47.8% (521)
69.2% (26)
By Period
Eller
Johnson
P1
50.7%
72.0%
P2
49.0%
66.7%
P3
48.3%
27.3%
Final 5 min
45.8%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
49.5%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
60.8%