Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Trocheck on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Eller wins 46.9% vs right-shot opponents — Trocheck shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 49.5% vs Trocheck 54.3% (-5.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eller 68.1%
Defensive zone
Eller 70.2%
Neutral zone
Eller 72.4%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 69.7%
69.7%
30.3%
Eller
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Eller
Trocheck
Last 8: Eller 3-5 Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eller
2
1
Eller
Trocheck
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
1
3
Eller
Trocheck
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Trocheck
0
1
Eller
Trocheck
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (786)
54.3% (955)
-3.2%
Power Play
45.0% (80)
64.6% (96)
-19.6%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (165)
51.0% (194)
-7.4%
On power play, Trocheck has a +19.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Eller is 46.9% vs right-shot opponents (354).
Eller shoots left. Trocheck is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (904).
Home / Away
Eller
Trocheck
Home
51.2% (510)
58.3% (604)
Away
47.8% (521)
51.2% (641)
By Period
Eller
Trocheck
P1
50.7%
53.9%
P2
49.0%
55.7%
P3
48.3%
54.3%
OT
56.3%
54.5%
Final 5 min
45.8%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
49.5%
Trocheck
60.0%▲
57.0%
54.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2022 | 2 | 18:40 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Mar 28, 2022 | 2 | 15:39 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Mar 28, 2022 | 1 | 18:02 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 3, 2022 | 2 | 15:48 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Mar 3, 2022 | 1 | 02:33 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 28, 2021 | 2 | 18:19 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 28, 2021 | 2 | 17:09 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 28, 2021 | 1 | 13:38 | Offensive | Lars Eller |