Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Eller wins 61.3% vs right-shot opponents — Trocheck shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 51.9% vs Trocheck 58.8% (-7.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Trocheck 88.4%
Defensive zone
Trocheck 66.0%
Neutral zone
Trocheck 70.2%
Result
Vincent Trocheck favored at 73.2%
26.8%
73.2%
Eller
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Eller
Trocheck
Last 8: Eller 5-3 Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
0
2
Eller
Trocheck
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
2
1
Eller
Trocheck
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
3
0
Eller
Trocheck
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (650)
59.6% (1,032)
-6.8%
Power Play
69.2% (13)
62.1% (253)
+7.1%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (88)
55.4% (249)
-9.9%
On penalty kill, Trocheck has a +9.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Eller is 61.3% vs right-shot opponents (225).
Eller shoots left. Trocheck is 59.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,143).
Home / Away
Eller
Trocheck
Home
52.6% (340)
61.7% (786)
Away
51.8% (411)
56.8% (748)
By Period
Eller
Trocheck
P1
52.4%
61.7%
P2
54.1%
58.8%
P3
50.0%
57.6%
OT
50.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
50.3%
57.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
52.2%
Trocheck
60.0%▲
57.0%
59.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2025 | 3 | 02:51 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Mar 5, 2025 | 2 | 14:58 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 5, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Mar 5, 2025 | 1 | 16:09 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Mar 5, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 3 | 00:20 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 9, 2024 | 3 | 11:35 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Oct 9, 2024 | 2 | 01:06 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |