Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 53.3% vs Trocheck 55.6% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Trocheck 88.0%
Defensive zone
Eller 51.2%
Neutral zone
Trocheck 68.7%
Result
Vincent Trocheck favored at 52.8%
47.2%
52.8%
Eller
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Eller
Trocheck
Last 5: Eller 5-0 Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
4
0
Eller
Trocheck
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
1
0
Eller
Trocheck
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (865)
55.0% (956)
-1.2%
Power Play
57.1% (21)
59.8% (266)
-2.7%
Penalty Kill
52.6% (137)
56.3% (64)
-3.7%
On penalty kill, Trocheck has a +3.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Eller is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (341).
Eller shoots left. Trocheck is 57.2% vs left-shot opponents (880).
Home / Away
Eller
Trocheck
Home
56.4% (486)
57.7% (673)
Away
51.2% (537)
54.3% (613)
By Period
Eller
Trocheck
P1
55.1%
55.4%
P2
55.3%
55.6%
P3
51.7%
56.4%
OT
27.3%
83.3%
Final 5 min
51.0%
57.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
53.7%
Trocheck
60.0%▲
57.0%
56.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2023 | 3 | 06:49 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 2 | 00:13 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 1 | 11:00 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 3 | 17:33 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 3 | 16:03 | Defensive | Lars Eller |