Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Dauphin wins 57.5% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dauphin 52.1% vs O'Reilly 55.2% (-2.3%)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 52.3%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 53.2%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 54.4%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 53.3%
46.7%
53.3%
Dauphin
O'Reilly
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dauphin
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (152)
56.1% (690)
-2.8%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (5)
45.9% (109)
+14.1%
On penalty kill, Dauphin has a +14.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Dauphin is 57.5% vs left-shot opponents (113).
Dauphin shoots left. O'Reilly is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (603).
Home / Away
Dauphin
O'Reilly
Home
52.9% (87)
58.3% (408)
Away
54.3% (70)
53.6% (487)
By Period
Dauphin
O'Reilly
P1
59.0%
57.7%
P2
46.8%
54.8%
P3
57.1%
55.2%
Final 5 min
53.8%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dauphin
60.0%▲
51.5%
53.5%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
55.8%