Laurent Dauphin vs Ryan O'Reilly
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +10.0% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dauphin 46.6% vs O'Reilly 56.0% (-10.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dauphin 80.8%
Defensive zone
Dauphin 77.8%
Neutral zone
Dauphin 78.8%
Result
Laurent Dauphin favored at 78.4%
78.4%
21.6%
Dauphin
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Dauphin
O'Reilly
Last 5: Dauphin 1-4 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
1
Dauphin
O'Reilly
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
3
Dauphin
O'Reilly
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dauphin
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (515)
56.2% (15,260)
-9.6%
Power Play
58.3% (12)
58.8% (3,445)
-0.5%
Penalty Kill
35.7% (42)
51.4% (2,811)
-15.7%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +15.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Dauphin is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (373).
Dauphin shoots left. O'Reilly is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (13,860).
Home / Away
Dauphin
O'Reilly
Home
48.0% (273)
57.6% (10,762)
Away
44.3% (296)
54.4% (10,787)
By Period
Dauphin
O'Reilly
P1
48.3%
55.6%
P2
46.3%
57.0%
P3
44.0%
55.1%
OT
0.0%
62.2%
Final 5 min
45.2%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dauphin
60.0%▲
51.5%
46.0%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2022 | 3 | 13:28 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 17, 2022 | 2 | 10:08 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 17, 2022 | 2 | 04:39 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 17, 2022 | 1 | 15:27 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 3 | 10:06 | Defensive | Laurent Dauphin |