Scouting Report
Matty Beniers holds a +12.6% FO% edge overall. Carlsson wins 35.3% vs left-shot opponents — Beniers shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carlsson 37.1% vs Beniers 47.6% (-12.6%)
H2H factor
Beniers leads 8-8 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Beniers 55.9%
Defensive zone
Beniers 56.3%
Neutral zone
Beniers 52.6%
Result
Matty Beniers favored at 55.6%
44.4%
55.6%
Carlsson
Beniers
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
8
(16 meetings)
8
8
Carlsson
Beniers
Last 10: Carlsson 6-4 Beniers
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
4
4
Carlsson
Beniers
8 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Carlsson
Beniers
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Carlsson
Beniers
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carlsson
Beniers
Edge
Even Strength
34.4% (535)
47.3% (945)
-12.9%
Power Play
42.9% (21)
51.7% (145)
-8.8%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (5)
23.8% (21)
+16.2%
On penalty kill, Carlsson has a +16.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beniers shoots left. Carlsson is 35.3% vs left-shot opponents (394).
Carlsson shoots left. Beniers is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (718).
Home / Away
Carlsson
Beniers
Home
38.6% (254)
49.6% (565)
Away
31.6% (307)
45.2% (546)
By Period
Carlsson
Beniers
P1
35.9%
48.0%
P2
33.8%
49.0%
P3
34.3%
46.5%
OT
44.4%
23.5%
Final 5 min
36.8%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carlsson
38.0%▼
39.5%
34.8%
Beniers
44.0%▼
50.5%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2024 | 3 | 17:10 | Offensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Apr 5, 2024 | 3 | 16:23 | Offensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Apr 5, 2024 | 3 | 08:23 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Apr 5, 2024 | 3 | 00:59 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Apr 5, 2024 | 1 | 01:09 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 3 | 03:24 | Offensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 3 | 00:47 | Defensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 2 | 15:55 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 2 | 00:33 | Defensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 1 | 17:20 | Defensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 3 | 01:00 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 2 | 15:26 | Offensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 2 | 11:33 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 1 | 17:39 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |