Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +9.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Zibanejad on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Carlsson wins 41.9% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carlsson 41.2% vs Zibanejad 49.9% (-9.1%)
H2H factor
Zibanejad leads 9-2 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Carlsson 79.9%
Defensive zone
Carlsson 87.0%
Neutral zone
Carlsson 82.8%
Result
Leo Carlsson favored at 84.3%
84.3%
15.7%
Carlsson
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
9
(11 meetings)
2
9
Carlsson
Zibanejad
Last 10: Carlsson 2-8 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carlsson
2
1
Carlsson
Zibanejad
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
0
6
Carlsson
Zibanejad
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
0
2
Carlsson
Zibanejad
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carlsson
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
41.0% (1,844)
50.9% (11,719)
-9.9%
Power Play
42.9% (154)
52.2% (1,849)
-9.3%
Penalty Kill
35.0% (120)
41.5% (1,790)
-6.5%
On even strength, Zibanejad has a +9.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Carlsson is 41.9% vs right-shot opponents (639).
Carlsson shoots left. Zibanejad is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (10,678).
Home / Away
Carlsson
Zibanejad
Home
42.2% (1,044)
51.6% (7,566)
Away
39.4% (1,074)
48.3% (7,793)
By Period
Carlsson
Zibanejad
P1
43.3%
50.4%
P2
36.5%
49.7%
P3
43.2%
49.8%
OT
40.7%
48.7%
Final 5 min
40.0%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carlsson
38.0%▼
39.5%
40.8%
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2025 | 2 | 10:32 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 28, 2025 | 2 | 07:17 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 28, 2025 | 2 | 02:54 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 28, 2025 | 2 | 00:35 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 28, 2025 | 2 | 00:14 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 28, 2025 | 1 | 19:12 | Offensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Mar 28, 2025 | 1 | 07:52 | Offensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 3 | 13:40 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 3 | 12:16 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 2 | 01:41 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 15, 2023 | 1 | 14:37 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |