Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +10.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Zibanejad on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Carlsson wins 41.6% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carlsson 42.4% vs Zibanejad 51.8% (-10.6%)
H2H factor
Zibanejad leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Carlsson 83.1%
Defensive zone
Carlsson 87.5%
Neutral zone
Carlsson 87.1%
Result
Leo Carlsson favored at 86.1%
86.1%
13.9%
Carlsson
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
8
(10 meetings)
2
8
Carlsson
Zibanejad
Last 10: Carlsson 2-8 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carlsson
2
1
Carlsson
Zibanejad
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
0
5
Carlsson
Zibanejad
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
0
2
Carlsson
Zibanejad
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carlsson
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
41.8% (648)
52.9% (870)
-11.1%
Power Play
37.3% (51)
53.5% (43)
-16.2%
Penalty Kill
38.7% (31)
46.2% (143)
-7.5%
On power play, Zibanejad has a +16.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Carlsson is 41.6% vs right-shot opponents (185).
Carlsson shoots left. Zibanejad is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (748).
Home / Away
Carlsson
Zibanejad
Home
44.5% (362)
55.1% (501)
Away
38.3% (368)
49.2% (555)
By Period
Carlsson
Zibanejad
P1
46.3%
57.5%
P2
35.1%
50.7%
P3
43.9%
47.9%
OT
33.3%
66.7%
Final 5 min
43.9%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carlsson
38.0%▼
39.5%
41.4%
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2025 | 2 | 10:32 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 28, 2025 | 2 | 07:17 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 28, 2025 | 2 | 02:54 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 28, 2025 | 2 | 00:35 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 28, 2025 | 2 | 00:14 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 28, 2025 | 1 | 19:12 | Offensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Mar 28, 2025 | 1 | 07:52 | Offensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 3 | 13:40 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 3 | 12:16 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 2 | 01:41 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |