Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +14.5% FO% edge overall. Carlsson wins 33.5% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carlsson 37.1% vs Zibanejad 49.3% (-14.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carlsson 53.4%
Defensive zone
Carlsson 50.7%
Neutral zone
Carlsson 53.0%
Result
Leo Carlsson favored at 50.7%
50.7%
49.3%
Carlsson
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Carlsson
Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
0
1
Carlsson
Zibanejad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carlsson
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
34.4% (535)
50.9% (913)
-16.5%
Power Play
42.9% (21)
59.0% (39)
-16.1%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (5)
37.5% (160)
+2.5%
On even strength, Zibanejad has a +16.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Carlsson is 33.5% vs right-shot opponents (167).
Carlsson shoots left. Zibanejad is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (837).
Home / Away
Carlsson
Zibanejad
Home
38.6% (254)
51.1% (536)
Away
31.6% (307)
47.6% (576)
By Period
Carlsson
Zibanejad
P1
35.9%
50.1%
P2
33.8%
47.3%
P3
34.3%
50.7%
OT
44.4%
45.0%
Final 5 min
36.8%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carlsson
38.0%▼
39.5%
34.8%
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 15, 2023 | 1 | 14:37 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |