Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Carlsson wins 47.0% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carlsson 45.0% vs Zibanejad 51.6% (-7.4%)
Offensive zone
Carlsson 58.2%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 64.6%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 54.5%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 53.7%
46.3%
53.7%
Carlsson
Zibanejad
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carlsson
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (661)
53.4% (770)
-7.9%
Power Play
46.3% (82)
46.2% (39)
+0.1%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (84)
44.7% (141)
-11.4%
On penalty kill, Zibanejad has a +11.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Carlsson is 47.0% vs right-shot opponents (287).
Carlsson shoots left. Zibanejad is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (697).
Home / Away
Carlsson
Zibanejad
Home
42.5% (428)
49.0% (429)
Away
46.4% (399)
54.1% (521)
By Period
Carlsson
Zibanejad
P1
45.4%
53.0%
P2
39.7%
51.1%
P3
48.5%
51.0%
OT
41.7%
60.0%
Final 5 min
39.0%
56.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carlsson
38.0%▼
39.5%
44.4%
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
51.8%