Scouting Report
Nico Hischier holds a +14.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Carlsson on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Carlsson wins 41.3% vs left-shot opponents — Hischier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carlsson 42.4% vs Hischier 55.2% (-14.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hischier 68.5%
Defensive zone
Hischier 77.8%
Neutral zone
Hischier 66.5%
Result
Nico Hischier favored at 72.2%
27.8%
72.2%
Carlsson
Hischier
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Carlsson
Hischier
Last 9: Carlsson 5-4 Hischier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
1
2
Carlsson
Hischier
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carlsson
3
1
Carlsson
Hischier
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Carlsson
Hischier
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carlsson
Hischier
Edge
Even Strength
41.8% (648)
55.8% (1,228)
-14.0%
Power Play
37.3% (51)
62.1% (282)
-24.8%
Penalty Kill
38.7% (31)
47.6% (267)
-8.9%
On power play, Hischier has a +24.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hischier shoots left. Carlsson is 41.3% vs left-shot opponents (545).
Carlsson shoots left. Hischier is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,187).
Home / Away
Carlsson
Hischier
Home
44.5% (362)
56.5% (867)
Away
38.3% (368)
54.6% (910)
By Period
Carlsson
Hischier
P1
46.3%
57.9%
P2
35.1%
55.9%
P3
43.9%
52.7%
OT
33.3%
66.7%
Final 5 min
43.9%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carlsson
38.0%▼
39.5%
41.4%
Hischier
50.0%▼
56.0%
55.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2024 | 3 | 16:36 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 2 | 08:10 | Defensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 2 | 05:09 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 1 | 04:29 | Defensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 1 | 00:50 | Defensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Oct 27, 2024 | 3 | 01:36 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 27, 2024 | 3 | 00:49 | Offensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Oct 27, 2024 | 2 | 10:21 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 27, 2024 | 2 | 00:45 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |