Scouting Report
Nico Hischier holds a +10.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Hischier on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Carlsson wins 43.0% vs left-shot opponents — Hischier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carlsson 45.0% vs Hischier 54.9% (-10.8%)
H2H factor
Hischier leads 9-2 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Carlsson 84.0%
Defensive zone
Carlsson 87.8%
Neutral zone
Carlsson 81.4%
Result
Leo Carlsson favored at 85.0%
85.0%
15.0%
Carlsson
Hischier
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
9
(11 meetings)
2
9
Carlsson
Hischier
Last 10: Carlsson 1-9 Hischier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
0
3
Carlsson
Hischier
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
2
3
Carlsson
Hischier
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hischier
0
3
Carlsson
Hischier
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carlsson
Hischier
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (661)
55.0% (1,107)
-9.5%
Power Play
46.3% (82)
63.1% (252)
-16.8%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (84)
43.6% (149)
-10.3%
On power play, Hischier has a +16.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hischier shoots left. Carlsson is 43.0% vs left-shot opponents (540).
Carlsson shoots left. Hischier is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (977).
Home / Away
Carlsson
Hischier
Home
42.5% (428)
56.5% (763)
Away
46.4% (399)
54.0% (745)
By Period
Carlsson
Hischier
P1
45.4%
56.0%
P2
39.7%
57.6%
P3
48.5%
53.0%
OT
41.7%
33.3%
Final 5 min
39.0%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carlsson
38.0%▼
39.5%
44.4%
Hischier
50.0%▼
56.0%
55.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2025 | 3 | 07:09 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 2 | 15:30 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 1 | 15:24 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 1 | 02:40 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 3 | 14:54 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 3 | 14:46 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 2 | 13:00 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 2 | 10:20 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 1 | 10:10 | Defensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 1 | 06:35 | Defensive | Leo Carlsson |