Scouting Report
Nico Hischier holds a +11.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Hischier on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Carlsson wins 40.3% vs left-shot opponents — Hischier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carlsson 41.2% vs Hischier 52.6% (-11.8%)
H2H factor
Hischier leads 13-7 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Carlsson 86.5%
Defensive zone
Carlsson 87.6%
Neutral zone
Carlsson 80.3%
Result
Leo Carlsson favored at 85.5%
85.5%
14.5%
Carlsson
Hischier
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
13
(20 meetings)
7
13
Carlsson
Hischier
Last 10: Carlsson 1-9 Hischier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
1
5
Carlsson
Hischier
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carlsson
5
4
Carlsson
Hischier
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hischier
1
4
Carlsson
Hischier
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carlsson
Hischier
Edge
Even Strength
41.0% (1,844)
51.5% (8,379)
-10.5%
Power Play
42.9% (154)
59.7% (1,736)
-16.8%
Penalty Kill
35.0% (120)
49.4% (903)
-14.4%
On power play, Hischier has a +16.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hischier shoots left. Carlsson is 40.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,479).
Carlsson shoots left. Hischier is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,048).
Home / Away
Carlsson
Hischier
Home
42.2% (1,044)
53.0% (5,449)
Away
39.4% (1,074)
52.2% (5,569)
By Period
Carlsson
Hischier
P1
43.3%
52.9%
P2
36.5%
52.4%
P3
43.2%
52.6%
OT
40.7%
50.6%
Final 5 min
40.0%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carlsson
38.0%▼
39.5%
40.8%
Hischier
50.0%▼
56.0%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2025 | 3 | 07:09 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 2 | 15:30 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 1 | 15:24 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 1 | 02:40 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 3 | 14:54 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 3 | 14:46 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 2 | 13:00 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 2 | 10:20 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 1 | 10:10 | Defensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 1 | 06:35 | Defensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 3 | 16:36 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 2 | 08:10 | Defensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 2 | 05:09 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 1 | 04:29 | Defensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 1 | 00:50 | Defensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Oct 27, 2024 | 3 | 01:36 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 27, 2024 | 3 | 00:49 | Offensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Oct 27, 2024 | 2 | 10:21 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 27, 2024 | 2 | 00:45 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |