Scouting Report
Phillip Danault holds a +17.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Danault on neutral-zone draws (73% H2H, 11 meetings). Carlsson wins 35.3% vs left-shot opponents — Danault shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carlsson 37.1% vs Danault 51.7% (-17.1%)
H2H factor
Danault leads 12-5 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Carlsson 80.4%
Defensive zone
Carlsson 90.2%
Neutral zone
Carlsson 91.4%
Result
Leo Carlsson favored at 89.2%
89.2%
10.8%
Carlsson
Danault
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
12
(17 meetings)
5
12
Carlsson
Danault
Last 10: Carlsson 3-7 Danault
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Danault
1
2
Carlsson
Danault
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Danault
1
2
Carlsson
Danault
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Danault
3
8
Carlsson
Danault
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carlsson
Danault
Edge
Even Strength
34.4% (535)
52.6% (895)
-18.2%
Power Play
42.9% (21)
55.7% (97)
-12.8%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (5)
45.5% (165)
-5.5%
On even strength, Danault has a +18.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danault shoots left. Carlsson is 35.3% vs left-shot opponents (394).
Carlsson shoots left. Danault is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (787).
Home / Away
Carlsson
Danault
Home
38.6% (254)
54.0% (581)
Away
31.6% (307)
49.7% (576)
By Period
Carlsson
Danault
P1
35.9%
53.7%
P2
33.8%
55.3%
P3
34.3%
46.5%
OT
44.4%
46.2%
Final 5 min
36.8%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carlsson
38.0%▼
39.5%
34.8%
Danault
54.0%▼
57.5%
51.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2024 | 3 | 17:42 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 3 | 15:37 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 3 | 10:16 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 2 | 09:23 | Defensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 2 | 00:19 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 1 | 06:19 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 1 | 03:07 | Offensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 3 | 18:33 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 3 | 05:50 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 3 | 03:21 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 2 | 12:42 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 2 | 04:47 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 2 | 04:37 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 1 | 18:57 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |