Scouting Report
Phillip Danault holds a +10.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Danault on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Carlsson wins 41.3% vs left-shot opponents — Danault shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carlsson 42.4% vs Danault 52.1% (-10.8%)
H2H factor
Danault leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Carlsson 61.5%
Defensive zone
Carlsson 52.9%
Neutral zone
Carlsson 57.0%
Result
Leo Carlsson favored at 56.4%
56.4%
43.6%
Carlsson
Danault
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
7
(12 meetings)
5
7
Carlsson
Danault
Last 9: Carlsson 4-5 Danault
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carlsson
2
1
Carlsson
Danault
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carlsson
3
2
Carlsson
Danault
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Danault
0
4
Carlsson
Danault
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carlsson
Danault
Edge
Even Strength
41.8% (648)
52.4% (958)
-10.6%
Power Play
37.3% (51)
62.0% (71)
-24.7%
Penalty Kill
38.7% (31)
47.6% (187)
-8.9%
On power play, Danault has a +24.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danault shoots left. Carlsson is 41.3% vs left-shot opponents (545).
Carlsson shoots left. Danault is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (832).
Home / Away
Carlsson
Danault
Home
44.5% (362)
51.2% (605)
Away
38.3% (368)
53.2% (611)
By Period
Carlsson
Danault
P1
46.3%
53.1%
P2
35.1%
49.8%
P3
43.9%
54.3%
OT
33.3%
20.0%
Final 5 min
43.9%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carlsson
38.0%▼
39.5%
41.4%
Danault
54.0%▼
57.5%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2025 | 3 | 13:18 | Offensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 2 | 18:41 | Defensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Oct 20, 2024 | 3 | 18:16 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Oct 20, 2024 | 3 | 08:58 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Oct 20, 2024 | 3 | 03:19 | Offensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Oct 20, 2024 | 3 | 03:06 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Oct 20, 2024 | 2 | 04:27 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Oct 20, 2024 | 2 | 04:11 | Defensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Oct 20, 2024 | 2 | 00:37 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |