Scouting Report
Ryan Hartman holds a +12.2% FO% edge overall. Carlsson wins 33.5% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carlsson 37.1% vs Hartman 47.3% (-12.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carlsson 75.5%
Defensive zone
Carlsson 79.2%
Neutral zone
Carlsson 76.8%
Result
Leo Carlsson favored at 75.9%
75.9%
24.1%
Carlsson
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Carlsson
Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
0
2
Carlsson
Hartman
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hartman
0
1
Carlsson
Hartman
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carlsson
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
34.4% (535)
47.1% (649)
-12.7%
Power Play
42.9% (21)
47.1% (68)
-4.2%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (5)
45.2% (73)
-5.2%
On even strength, Hartman has a +12.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Carlsson is 33.5% vs right-shot opponents (167).
Carlsson shoots left. Hartman is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (608).
Home / Away
Carlsson
Hartman
Home
38.6% (254)
46.5% (361)
Away
31.6% (307)
47.3% (429)
By Period
Carlsson
Hartman
P1
35.9%
45.1%
P2
33.8%
44.4%
P3
34.3%
50.9%
OT
44.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
36.8%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carlsson
38.0%▼
39.5%
34.8%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
47.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2024 | 1 | 06:11 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 1 | 06:05 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 1 | 18:37 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |