Scouting Report
Ryan Hartman holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Carlsson wins 41.6% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carlsson 42.4% vs Hartman 48.1% (-6.4%)
Offensive zone
Carlsson 52.8%
Defensive zone
Hartman 53.6%
Neutral zone
Hartman 51.8%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 50.9%
49.1%
50.9%
Carlsson
Hartman
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carlsson
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
41.8% (648)
48.1% (520)
-6.3%
Power Play
37.3% (51)
44.7% (47)
-7.4%
Penalty Kill
38.7% (31)
47.8% (23)
-9.1%
On penalty kill, Hartman has a +9.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Carlsson is 41.6% vs right-shot opponents (185).
Carlsson shoots left. Hartman is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (442).
Home / Away
Carlsson
Hartman
Home
44.5% (362)
48.3% (360)
Away
38.3% (368)
47.0% (230)
By Period
Carlsson
Hartman
P1
46.3%
48.5%
P2
35.1%
45.2%
P3
43.9%
49.6%
OT
33.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
43.9%
42.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carlsson
38.0%▼
39.5%
41.4%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
47.8%