Who wins more faceoffs, Leo Carlsson or Ryan Nugent-Hopkins?

Ryan Nugent-Hopkins leads the head-to-head 6-4 across 10 faceoffs.

What is Leo Carlsson's faceoff record against Ryan Nugent-Hopkins?

Leo Carlsson is 4-6 against Ryan Nugent-Hopkins in head-to-head faceoffs. Zone breakdown: Offensive 0-1, Defensive 1-2, Neutral 3-3.

Who is predicted to win the next faceoff, Leo Carlsson or Ryan Nugent-Hopkins?

Leo Carlsson is the predicted winner with a 63.4% win probability based on historical stats and XGBoost ML analysis.

Leo Carlsson vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins

Leo CarlssonL vs Ryan Nugent-HopkinsL

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head

2025-26 2024-25 2023-24 2022-23 2021-22 All Seasons

Scouting Report

Ryan Nugent-Hopkins holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Nugent-Hopkins on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Carlsson wins 40.3% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown

Model XGBoost ML Model

Overall FO% (Bayesian) Carlsson 41.2% vs Nugent-Hopkins 44.8% (-3.9%)

H2H factor Nugent-Hopkins leads 6-4 in 10 meetings

Offensive zone Carlsson 63.1%

Defensive zone Carlsson 62.7%

Neutral zone Carlsson 63.9%

Result Leo Carlsson favored at 63.4%

63.4%

36.6%

Carlsson Nugent-Hopkins

Head-to-Head Record

4 - 6 (10 meetings)

Carlsson Nugent-Hopkins

Last 10: Carlsson 4-6 Nugent-Hopkins

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone

Edge: Nugent-Hopkins

Carlsson Nugent-Hopkins

1 total

Defensive Zone

Edge: Nugent-Hopkins

Carlsson Nugent-Hopkins

3 total

Neutral Zone

Even

Carlsson Nugent-Hopkins

6 total

Situation Matchup

Situation

Carlsson

Nugent-Hopkins

Edge

Even Strength

41.0% (1,844)

44.9% (8,756)

-3.9%

Power Play

42.9% (154)

50.7% (839)

-7.8%

Penalty Kill

35.0% (120)

37.9% (879)

-2.9%

On power play, Nugent-Hopkins has a +7.8% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness

Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Carlsson is 40.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,479).

Carlsson shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 44.7% vs left-shot opponents (6,841).

Home / Away

Carlsson

Nugent-Hopkins

Home

42.2% (1,044)

46.5% (5,350)

Away

39.4% (1,074)

42.9% (5,136)

By Period

Carlsson

Nugent-Hopkins

43.3%

45.1%

36.5%

43.9%

43.2%

45.3%

40.7%

43.5%

Final 5 min

40.0%

43.7%

Recent Form

Player

Last 50

Last 200

Career

Carlsson

38.0%▼

39.5%

40.8%

Nugent-Hopkins

58.0%▲

50.0%

44.7%

Recent Faceoffs

Date	Period	Time	Zone	Winner
Apr 7, 2025	3	15:02	Defensive	Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
Apr 7, 2025	3	00:00	Neutral	Leo Carlsson
Apr 7, 2025	2	00:00	Neutral	Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
Apr 7, 2025	1	00:00	Neutral	Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
Mar 4, 2025	2	18:04	Offensive	Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
Mar 4, 2025	1	06:00	Defensive	Leo Carlsson
Jan 3, 2025	3	09:03	Neutral	Leo Carlsson
Dec 29, 2024	2	06:32	Defensive	Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
Dec 29, 2024	1	08:03	Neutral	Leo Carlsson
Dec 29, 2024	1	01:22	Neutral	Ryan Nugent-Hopkins

Carlsson's Profile | Nugent-Hopkins's Profile