Who wins more faceoffs, Leo Carlsson or Ryan Nugent-Hopkins?

Ryan Nugent-Hopkins leads the head-to-head 6-4 across 10 faceoffs.

What is Leo Carlsson's faceoff record against Ryan Nugent-Hopkins?

Leo Carlsson is 4-6 against Ryan Nugent-Hopkins in head-to-head faceoffs. Zone breakdown: Offensive 0-1, Defensive 1-2, Neutral 3-3.

Who is predicted to win the next faceoff, Leo Carlsson or Ryan Nugent-Hopkins?

Leo Carlsson is the predicted winner with a 57.8% win probability based on historical stats and XGBoost ML analysis.

Leo Carlsson vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins

Leo CarlssonL vs Ryan Nugent-HopkinsL

2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head

2025-26 2024-25 2023-24 2022-23 2021-22 All Seasons

Scouting Report

Ryan Nugent-Hopkins holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Nugent-Hopkins on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Carlsson wins 41.3% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown

Model XGBoost ML Model

Overall FO% (Bayesian) Carlsson 42.4% vs Nugent-Hopkins 48.7% (-7.1%)

H2H factor Nugent-Hopkins leads 6-4 in 10 meetings

Offensive zone Carlsson 63.5%

Defensive zone Carlsson 58.1%

Neutral zone Carlsson 56.6%

Result Leo Carlsson favored at 57.8%

57.8%

42.2%

Carlsson Nugent-Hopkins

Head-to-Head Record

4 - 6 (10 meetings)

Carlsson Nugent-Hopkins

Last 10: Carlsson 4-6 Nugent-Hopkins

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone

Edge: Nugent-Hopkins

Carlsson Nugent-Hopkins

1 total

Defensive Zone

Edge: Nugent-Hopkins

Carlsson Nugent-Hopkins

3 total

Neutral Zone

Even

Carlsson Nugent-Hopkins

6 total

Situation Matchup

Situation

Carlsson

Nugent-Hopkins

Edge

Even Strength

41.8% (648)

50.3% (479)

-8.5%

Power Play

37.3% (51)

50.0% (28)

-12.7%

Penalty Kill

38.7% (31)

30.0% (50)

+8.7%

On power play, Nugent-Hopkins has a +12.7% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness

Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Carlsson is 41.3% vs left-shot opponents (545).

Carlsson shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (384).

Home / Away

Carlsson

Nugent-Hopkins

Home

44.5% (362)

48.9% (270)

Away

38.3% (368)

48.1% (287)

By Period

Carlsson

Nugent-Hopkins

46.3%

48.7%

35.1%

50.0%

43.9%

47.3%

33.3%

36.4%

Final 5 min

43.9%

43.8%

Recent Form

Player

Last 50

Last 200

Career

Carlsson

40.0%▼

43.5%

41.4%

Nugent-Hopkins

48.0%▲

46.5%

48.5%

Recent Faceoffs

Date	Period	Time	Zone	Winner
Apr 7, 2025	3	15:02	Defensive	Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
Apr 7, 2025	3	00:00	Neutral	Leo Carlsson
Apr 7, 2025	2	00:00	Neutral	Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
Apr 7, 2025	1	00:00	Neutral	Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
Mar 4, 2025	2	18:04	Offensive	Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
Mar 4, 2025	1	06:00	Defensive	Leo Carlsson
Jan 3, 2025	3	09:03	Neutral	Leo Carlsson
Dec 29, 2024	2	06:32	Defensive	Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
Dec 29, 2024	1	08:03	Neutral	Leo Carlsson
Dec 29, 2024	1	01:22	Neutral	Ryan Nugent-Hopkins

Carlsson's Profile | Nugent-Hopkins's Profile