Leo Carlsson vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins holds a +13.2% FO% edge overall. Carlsson wins 35.3% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carlsson 37.1% vs Nugent-Hopkins 48.3% (-13.2%)
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 53.4%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 60.5%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 53.5%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 55.8%
44.2%
55.8%
Carlsson
Nugent-Hopkins
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carlsson
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
34.4% (535)
51.0% (408)
-16.6%
Power Play
42.9% (21)
0.0% (6)
+42.9%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (5)
35.9% (78)
+4.1%
On power play, Carlsson has a +42.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Carlsson is 35.3% vs left-shot opponents (394).
Carlsson shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (339).
Home / Away
Carlsson
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
38.6% (254)
50.8% (258)
Away
31.6% (307)
44.9% (234)
By Period
Carlsson
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
35.9%
51.6%
P2
33.8%
45.2%
P3
34.3%
47.6%
OT
44.4%
40.0%
Final 5 min
36.8%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carlsson
40.0%▼
43.5%
34.8%
Nugent-Hopkins
48.0%▲
46.5%
48.0%