Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +14.7% FO% edge overall. Carlsson wins 41.3% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carlsson 42.4% vs Couturier 55.6% (-14.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Couturier 80.8%
Defensive zone
Couturier 73.1%
Neutral zone
Couturier 72.9%
Result
Sean Couturier favored at 73.0%
27.0%
73.0%
Carlsson
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Carlsson
Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
0
1
Carlsson
Couturier
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carlsson
2
0
Carlsson
Couturier
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carlsson
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
41.8% (648)
55.1% (1,008)
-13.3%
Power Play
37.3% (51)
64.1% (142)
-26.8%
Penalty Kill
38.7% (31)
53.3% (45)
-14.6%
On power play, Couturier has a +26.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Carlsson is 41.3% vs left-shot opponents (545).
Carlsson shoots left. Couturier is 55.3% vs left-shot opponents (790).
Home / Away
Carlsson
Couturier
Home
44.5% (362)
58.1% (609)
Away
38.3% (368)
53.9% (586)
By Period
Carlsson
Couturier
P1
46.3%
55.3%
P2
35.1%
55.8%
P3
43.9%
57.4%
OT
33.3%
45.0%
Final 5 min
43.9%
57.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carlsson
40.0%▼
43.5%
41.4%
Couturier
46.0%▼
47.5%
56.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2025 | 1 | 15:43 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 1 | 09:12 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 2 | 11:12 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |