Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +11.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Couturier on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 9 meetings). Carlsson wins 40.3% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carlsson 41.2% vs Couturier 52.6% (-11.8%)
H2H factor
Couturier leads 11-6 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Carlsson 76.0%
Defensive zone
Carlsson 73.8%
Neutral zone
Carlsson 81.0%
Result
Leo Carlsson favored at 77.5%
77.5%
22.5%
Carlsson
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
11
(17 meetings)
6
11
Carlsson
Couturier
Last 10: Carlsson 5-5 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
3
6
Carlsson
Couturier
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
0
2
Carlsson
Couturier
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Carlsson
Couturier
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carlsson
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
41.0% (1,844)
52.5% (11,063)
-11.5%
Power Play
42.9% (154)
59.7% (1,280)
-16.8%
Penalty Kill
35.0% (120)
48.5% (1,816)
-13.5%
On power play, Couturier has a +16.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Carlsson is 40.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,479).
Carlsson shoots left. Couturier is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (8,920).
Home / Away
Carlsson
Couturier
Home
42.2% (1,044)
53.4% (7,147)
Away
39.4% (1,074)
51.8% (7,019)
By Period
Carlsson
Couturier
P1
43.3%
52.5%
P2
36.5%
52.6%
P3
43.2%
52.9%
OT
40.7%
49.4%
Final 5 min
40.0%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carlsson
38.0%▼
39.5%
40.8%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2026 | 3 | 11:24 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 3 | 11:04 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 2 | 14:56 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 2 | 01:33 | Offensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 2 | 01:15 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 1 | 18:56 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 1 | 15:43 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 1 | 09:12 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 2 | 11:12 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 3 | 12:01 | Offensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 1 | 09:25 | Offensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 3 | 17:33 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 2 | 11:12 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 2 | 11:07 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 1 | 07:03 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |