Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +13.3% FO% edge overall. Carlsson wins 35.3% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carlsson 37.1% vs Kuraly 48.4% (-13.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carlsson 72.1%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 81.4%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 53.9%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 53.9%
46.1%
53.9%
Carlsson
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Carlsson
Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Carlsson
Kuraly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carlsson
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
34.4% (535)
49.4% (445)
-15.0%
Power Play
42.9% (21)
100.0% (3)
-57.1%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (5)
41.9% (117)
-1.9%
On power play, Kuraly has a +57.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Carlsson is 35.3% vs left-shot opponents (394).
Carlsson shoots left. Kuraly is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (354).
Home / Away
Carlsson
Kuraly
Home
38.6% (254)
49.2% (248)
Away
31.6% (307)
47.3% (317)
By Period
Carlsson
Kuraly
P1
35.9%
48.3%
P2
33.8%
44.7%
P3
34.3%
51.7%
Final 5 min
36.8%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carlsson
38.0%▼
39.5%
34.8%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2024 | 2 | 16:05 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |
| Feb 21, 2024 | 1 | 03:32 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |