Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +12.9% FO% edge overall. Carlsson wins 41.3% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carlsson 42.4% vs Kuraly 53.7% (-12.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carlsson 73.5%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 59.4%
Neutral zone
Carlsson 57.3%
Result
Leo Carlsson favored at 57.3%
57.3%
42.7%
Carlsson
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Carlsson
Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
1
Carlsson
Kuraly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carlsson
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
41.8% (648)
55.3% (515)
-13.5%
Power Play
37.3% (51)
55.6% (9)
-18.3%
Penalty Kill
38.7% (31)
44.8% (58)
-6.1%
On power play, Kuraly has a +18.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Carlsson is 41.3% vs left-shot opponents (545).
Carlsson shoots left. Kuraly is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (387).
Home / Away
Carlsson
Kuraly
Home
44.5% (362)
57.3% (293)
Away
38.3% (368)
51.2% (289)
By Period
Carlsson
Kuraly
P1
46.3%
53.8%
P2
35.1%
51.5%
P3
43.9%
57.6%
OT
33.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
43.9%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carlsson
38.0%▼
39.5%
41.4%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2024 | 2 | 13:56 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |