Scouting Report
Shane Pinto holds a +15.8% FO% edge overall. Carlsson wins 33.5% vs right-shot opponents — Pinto shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carlsson 37.1% vs Pinto 50.5% (-15.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pinto 68.3%
Defensive zone
Pinto 82.0%
Neutral zone
Pinto 78.5%
Result
Shane Pinto favored at 78.5%
21.5%
78.5%
Carlsson
Pinto
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Carlsson
Pinto
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carlsson
1
0
Carlsson
Pinto
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carlsson
Pinto
Edge
Even Strength
34.4% (535)
51.2% (463)
-16.8%
Power Play
42.9% (21)
50.0% (14)
-7.1%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (5)
36.8% (19)
+3.2%
On even strength, Pinto has a +16.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pinto shoots right. Carlsson is 33.5% vs right-shot opponents (167).
Carlsson shoots left. Pinto is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (341).
Home / Away
Carlsson
Pinto
Home
38.6% (254)
52.2% (205)
Away
31.6% (307)
49.5% (291)
By Period
Carlsson
Pinto
P1
35.9%
48.7%
P2
33.8%
51.8%
P3
34.3%
51.2%
OT
44.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
36.8%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carlsson
38.0%▼
39.5%
34.8%
Pinto
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2024 | 1 | 19:30 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |