Scouting Report
Shane Pinto holds a +9.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Pinto on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Carlsson wins 41.9% vs right-shot opponents — Pinto shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carlsson 41.2% vs Pinto 50.3% (-9.5%)
H2H factor
Pinto leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Carlsson 63.4%
Defensive zone
Pinto 62.9%
Neutral zone
Carlsson 52.0%
Result
Leo Carlsson favored at 51.2%
51.2%
48.8%
Carlsson
Pinto
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
7
(13 meetings)
6
7
Carlsson
Pinto
Last 10: Carlsson 3-7 Pinto
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carlsson
2
1
Carlsson
Pinto
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pinto
0
3
Carlsson
Pinto
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carlsson
4
3
Carlsson
Pinto
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carlsson
Pinto
Edge
Even Strength
41.0% (1,844)
50.6% (2,716)
-9.6%
Power Play
42.9% (154)
54.4% (90)
-11.5%
Penalty Kill
35.0% (120)
44.9% (234)
-9.9%
On power play, Pinto has a +11.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pinto shoots right. Carlsson is 41.9% vs right-shot opponents (639).
Carlsson shoots left. Pinto is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,185).
Home / Away
Carlsson
Pinto
Home
42.2% (1,044)
50.9% (1,501)
Away
39.4% (1,074)
49.6% (1,539)
By Period
Carlsson
Pinto
P1
43.3%
48.3%
P2
36.5%
51.7%
P3
43.2%
50.9%
OT
40.7%
46.7%
Final 5 min
40.0%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carlsson
38.0%▼
39.5%
40.8%
Pinto
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 15:48 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 11:35 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 09:09 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 2 | 03:24 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 2 | 00:10 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 3 | 18:02 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 3 | 14:08 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 3 | 12:24 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 2 | 18:35 | Offensive | Shane Pinto |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |
| Dec 11, 2024 | 1 | 19:38 | Offensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Dec 11, 2024 | 1 | 14:14 | Offensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 1 | 19:30 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |