Scouting Report
Shane Pinto holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall. Carlsson wins 41.6% vs right-shot opponents — Pinto shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carlsson 42.4% vs Pinto 50.1% (-8.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pinto 60.3%
Defensive zone
Pinto 90.3%
Neutral zone
Pinto 77.0%
Result
Shane Pinto favored at 60.3%
39.7%
60.3%
Carlsson
Pinto
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Carlsson
Pinto
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carlsson
2
0
Carlsson
Pinto
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carlsson
Pinto
Edge
Even Strength
41.8% (648)
50.4% (779)
-8.6%
Power Play
37.3% (51)
55.2% (29)
-17.9%
Penalty Kill
38.7% (31)
44.9% (78)
-6.2%
On power play, Pinto has a +17.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pinto shoots right. Carlsson is 41.6% vs right-shot opponents (185).
Carlsson shoots left. Pinto is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (672).
Home / Away
Carlsson
Pinto
Home
44.5% (362)
52.4% (454)
Away
38.3% (368)
47.7% (432)
By Period
Carlsson
Pinto
P1
46.3%
48.1%
P2
35.1%
52.9%
P3
43.9%
49.3%
OT
33.3%
40.0%
Final 5 min
43.9%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carlsson
38.0%▼
39.5%
41.4%
Pinto
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2024 | 1 | 19:38 | Offensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Dec 11, 2024 | 1 | 14:14 | Offensive | Leo Carlsson |