Scouting Report
Tage Thompson holds a +8.5% FO% edge overall. Carlsson wins 33.5% vs right-shot opponents — Thompson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carlsson 37.1% vs Thompson 44.0% (-8.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carlsson 56.1%
Defensive zone
Thompson 51.5%
Neutral zone
Carlsson 52.9%
Result
Leo Carlsson favored at 56.1%
56.1%
43.9%
Carlsson
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Carlsson
Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
1
Carlsson
Thompson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carlsson
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
34.4% (535)
44.6% (709)
-10.2%
Power Play
42.9% (21)
41.5% (53)
+1.4%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (5)
35.1% (97)
+4.9%
On even strength, Thompson has a +10.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Carlsson is 33.5% vs right-shot opponents (167).
Carlsson shoots left. Thompson is 39.9% vs left-shot opponents (627).
Home / Away
Carlsson
Thompson
Home
38.6% (254)
45.5% (426)
Away
31.6% (307)
41.1% (433)
By Period
Carlsson
Thompson
P1
35.9%
48.5%
P2
33.8%
43.8%
P3
34.3%
38.1%
OT
44.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
36.8%
37.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carlsson
38.0%▼
39.5%
34.8%
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
43.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2024 | 1 | 03:12 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |