Scouting Report
Tage Thompson holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Carlsson wins 41.6% vs right-shot opponents — Thompson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carlsson 42.4% vs Thompson 43.7% (-1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thompson 60.7%
Defensive zone
Carlsson 52.4%
Neutral zone
Thompson 54.2%
Result
Tage Thompson favored at 60.7%
39.3%
60.7%
Carlsson
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Carlsson
Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carlsson
1
0
Carlsson
Thompson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carlsson
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
41.8% (648)
41.9% (597)
-0.1%
Power Play
37.3% (51)
50.5% (95)
-13.2%
Penalty Kill
38.7% (31)
25.0% (12)
+13.7%
On penalty kill, Carlsson has a +13.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Carlsson is 41.6% vs right-shot opponents (185).
Carlsson shoots left. Thompson is 42.0% vs left-shot opponents (514).
Home / Away
Carlsson
Thompson
Home
44.5% (362)
47.1% (367)
Away
38.3% (368)
38.0% (337)
By Period
Carlsson
Thompson
P1
46.3%
44.2%
P2
35.1%
41.6%
P3
43.9%
42.9%
OT
33.3%
25.0%
Final 5 min
43.9%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carlsson
38.0%▼
39.5%
41.4%
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
42.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2025 | 3 | 15:32 | Offensive | Leo Carlsson |