Scouting Report
Tyler Motte holds a +15.5% FO% edge overall. Carlsson wins 35.3% vs left-shot opponents — Motte shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carlsson 37.1% vs Motte 50.2% (-15.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carlsson 53.2%
Defensive zone
Carlsson 52.3%
Neutral zone
Carlsson 51.4%
Result
Leo Carlsson favored at 51.4%
51.4%
48.6%
Carlsson
Motte
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Carlsson
Motte
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Motte
0
1
Carlsson
Motte
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carlsson
Motte
Edge
Even Strength
34.4% (535)
49.7% (149)
-15.3%
Power Play
42.9% (21)
100.0% (1)
-57.1%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (5)
60.0% (5)
-20.0%
On power play, Motte has a +57.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Motte shoots left. Carlsson is 35.3% vs left-shot opponents (394).
Carlsson shoots left. Motte is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (90).
Home / Away
Carlsson
Motte
Home
38.6% (254)
49.4% (89)
Away
31.6% (307)
51.5% (66)
By Period
Carlsson
Motte
P1
35.9%
51.7%
P2
33.8%
50.0%
P3
34.3%
48.8%
Final 5 min
36.8%
46.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carlsson
38.0%▼
39.5%
34.8%
Motte
38.0%▼
45.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2024 | 3 | 04:35 | Neutral | Tyler Motte |