Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (41.4% vs 41.4%). Carlsson wins 41.3% vs left-shot opponents — Motte shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carlsson 42.4% vs Motte 44.9% (+0.0%)
Offensive zone
Carlsson 50.7%
Defensive zone
Carlsson 51.3%
Neutral zone
Carlsson 53.6%
Result
Leo Carlsson favored at 51.9%
51.9%
48.1%
Carlsson
Motte
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carlsson
Motte
Edge
Even Strength
41.8% (648)
40.8% (130)
+1.0%
Power Play
37.3% (51)
50.0% (8)
-12.7%
Penalty Kill
38.7% (31)
42.9% (7)
-4.2%
On power play, Motte has a +12.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Motte shoots left. Carlsson is 41.3% vs left-shot opponents (545).
Carlsson shoots left. Motte is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (86).
Home / Away
Carlsson
Motte
Home
44.5% (362)
39.3% (61)
Away
38.3% (368)
42.9% (84)
By Period
Carlsson
Motte
P1
46.3%
42.0%
P2
35.1%
44.7%
P3
43.9%
37.5%
Final 5 min
43.9%
41.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carlsson
38.0%▼
39.5%
41.4%
Motte
38.0%▼
45.0%
41.4%