Scouting Report
Tyler Motte holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Carlsson wins 40.3% vs left-shot opponents — Motte shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carlsson 41.2% vs Motte 44.0% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carlsson 55.4%
Defensive zone
Motte 52.7%
Neutral zone
Carlsson 52.7%
Result
Leo Carlsson favored at 52.7%
52.7%
47.3%
Carlsson
Motte
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Carlsson
Motte
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Motte
0
1
Carlsson
Motte
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carlsson
Motte
Edge
Even Strength
41.0% (1,844)
43.6% (424)
-2.6%
Power Play
42.9% (154)
41.7% (12)
+1.2%
Penalty Kill
35.0% (120)
37.9% (66)
-2.9%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Motte shoots left. Carlsson is 40.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,479).
Carlsson shoots left. Motte is 42.8% vs left-shot opponents (304).
Home / Away
Carlsson
Motte
Home
42.2% (1,044)
45.2% (248)
Away
39.4% (1,074)
40.6% (254)
By Period
Carlsson
Motte
P1
43.3%
44.6%
P2
36.5%
42.1%
P3
43.2%
41.8%
OT
40.7%
0.0%
Final 5 min
40.0%
41.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carlsson
38.0%▼
39.5%
40.8%
Motte
38.0%▼
45.0%
42.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2024 | 3 | 04:35 | Neutral | Tyler Motte |