Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +21.5% FO% edge overall. Carlsson wins 33.5% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carlsson 37.1% vs Seguin 55.4% (-21.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carlsson 54.8%
Defensive zone
Seguin 52.2%
Neutral zone
Seguin 56.1%
Result
Leo Carlsson favored at 54.8%
54.8%
45.2%
Carlsson
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Carlsson
Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
1
Carlsson
Seguin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carlsson
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
34.4% (535)
56.9% (478)
-22.5%
Power Play
42.9% (21)
57.4% (54)
-14.5%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (5)
51.3% (76)
-11.3%
On even strength, Seguin has a +22.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Carlsson is 33.5% vs right-shot opponents (167).
Carlsson shoots left. Seguin is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (473).
Home / Away
Carlsson
Seguin
Home
38.6% (254)
57.4% (317)
Away
31.6% (307)
55.0% (291)
By Period
Carlsson
Seguin
P1
35.9%
50.3%
P2
33.8%
60.4%
P3
34.3%
58.0%
OT
44.4%
57.1%
Final 5 min
36.8%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carlsson
38.0%▼
39.5%
34.8%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
56.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2023 | 2 | 07:48 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |