Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +11.5% FO% edge overall. Carlsson wins 41.6% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carlsson 42.4% vs Seguin 51.8% (-11.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carlsson 53.1%
Defensive zone
Carlsson 58.9%
Neutral zone
Carlsson 52.3%
Result
Leo Carlsson favored at 58.9%
58.9%
41.1%
Carlsson
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Carlsson
Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
1
Carlsson
Seguin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carlsson
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
41.8% (648)
54.8% (135)
-13.0%
Power Play
37.3% (51)
58.3% (24)
-21.0%
Penalty Kill
38.7% (31)
26.7% (15)
+12.0%
On power play, Seguin has a +21.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Carlsson is 41.6% vs right-shot opponents (185).
Carlsson shoots left. Seguin is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (139).
Home / Away
Carlsson
Seguin
Home
44.5% (362)
47.4% (95)
Away
38.3% (368)
59.5% (79)
By Period
Carlsson
Seguin
P1
46.3%
50.8%
P2
35.1%
57.1%
P3
43.9%
51.6%
Final 5 min
43.9%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carlsson
38.0%▼
39.5%
41.4%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 18, 2024 | 2 | 16:46 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |