Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +23.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Trocheck on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings). Carlsson wins 33.5% vs right-shot opponents — Trocheck shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carlsson 37.1% vs Trocheck 58.2% (-23.9%)
H2H factor
Trocheck leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Carlsson 71.1%
Defensive zone
Carlsson 83.0%
Neutral zone
Carlsson 83.7%
Result
Leo Carlsson favored at 80.7%
80.7%
19.3%
Carlsson
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
9
(13 meetings)
4
9
Carlsson
Trocheck
Last 10: Carlsson 3-7 Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carlsson
2
1
Carlsson
Trocheck
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
0
2
Carlsson
Trocheck
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Trocheck
2
6
Carlsson
Trocheck
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carlsson
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
34.4% (535)
57.6% (1,061)
-23.2%
Power Play
42.9% (21)
65.1% (338)
-22.2%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (5)
49.5% (101)
-9.5%
On even strength, Trocheck has a +23.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Carlsson is 33.5% vs right-shot opponents (167).
Carlsson shoots left. Trocheck is 59.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,118).
Home / Away
Carlsson
Trocheck
Home
38.6% (254)
61.8% (735)
Away
31.6% (307)
55.8% (765)
By Period
Carlsson
Trocheck
P1
35.9%
57.7%
P2
33.8%
57.9%
P3
34.3%
60.4%
OT
44.4%
60.0%
Final 5 min
36.8%
58.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carlsson
38.0%▼
39.5%
34.8%
Trocheck
60.0%▲
57.0%
58.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2024 | 3 | 12:21 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Jan 21, 2024 | 3 | 10:10 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |
| Jan 21, 2024 | 2 | 18:18 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Jan 21, 2024 | 2 | 13:41 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Jan 21, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |
| Jan 21, 2024 | 1 | 05:50 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 15, 2023 | 3 | 09:23 | Offensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Dec 15, 2023 | 3 | 08:09 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 15, 2023 | 3 | 00:09 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 15, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 15, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 15, 2023 | 1 | 19:38 | Offensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Dec 15, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |