Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +17.9% FO% edge overall. Carlsson wins 41.6% vs right-shot opponents — Trocheck shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carlsson 42.4% vs Trocheck 58.8% (-17.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Trocheck 59.5%
Defensive zone
Trocheck 55.5%
Neutral zone
Trocheck 54.1%
Result
Vincent Trocheck favored at 57.5%
42.5%
57.5%
Carlsson
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Carlsson
Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
0
1
Carlsson
Trocheck
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carlsson
1
0
Carlsson
Trocheck
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carlsson
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
41.8% (648)
59.6% (1,032)
-17.8%
Power Play
37.3% (51)
62.1% (253)
-24.8%
Penalty Kill
38.7% (31)
55.4% (249)
-16.7%
On power play, Trocheck has a +24.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Carlsson is 41.6% vs right-shot opponents (185).
Carlsson shoots left. Trocheck is 59.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,143).
Home / Away
Carlsson
Trocheck
Home
44.5% (362)
61.7% (786)
Away
38.3% (368)
56.8% (748)
By Period
Carlsson
Trocheck
P1
46.3%
61.7%
P2
35.1%
58.8%
P3
43.9%
57.6%
OT
33.3%
66.7%
Final 5 min
43.9%
57.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carlsson
38.0%▼
39.5%
41.4%
Trocheck
60.0%▲
57.0%
59.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2025 | 3 | 04:56 | Defensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 2 | 04:49 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |