Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 46.7% vs Draisaitl 48.5% (-2.1%)
H2H factor
Lowry leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 88.3%
Defensive zone
Lowry 63.5%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 70.3%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 60.7%
39.3%
60.7%
Lowry
Draisaitl
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
4
(12 meetings)
8
4
Lowry
Draisaitl
Last 10: Lowry 6-4 Draisaitl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
1
2
Lowry
Draisaitl
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
5
0
Lowry
Draisaitl
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Lowry
Draisaitl
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Draisaitl
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (666)
48.9% (894)
-2.4%
Power Play
57.1% (7)
44.8% (134)
+12.3%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (172)
50.0% (10)
-5.2%
On power play, Lowry has a +12.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Draisaitl shoots left. Lowry is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (477).
Lowry shoots left. Draisaitl is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (693).
Home / Away
Lowry
Draisaitl
Home
49.9% (393)
52.5% (516)
Away
43.1% (452)
44.3% (522)
By Period
Lowry
Draisaitl
P1
45.1%
48.2%
P2
44.8%
48.2%
P3
49.1%
48.8%
OT
0.0%
45.0%
Final 5 min
46.2%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
46.3%
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2016 | 3 | 17:30 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 6, 2016 | 2 | 16:20 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 6, 2016 | 1 | 14:40 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 6, 2016 | 1 | 10:11 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 13, 2016 | 3 | 08:55 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 13, 2016 | 2 | 19:40 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 13, 2016 | 2 | 15:49 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 13, 2016 | 2 | 15:45 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 13, 2016 | 2 | 10:39 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 13, 2016 | 2 | 06:22 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 13, 2016 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 13, 2016 | 1 | 07:40 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |