Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +16.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Draisaitl on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Tuch wins 34.5% vs left-shot opponents — Draisaitl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tuch 44.9% vs Draisaitl 56.5% (-16.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tuch 83.1%
Defensive zone
Tuch 81.0%
Neutral zone
Tuch 85.5%
Result
Alex Tuch favored at 83.2%
83.2%
16.8%
Tuch
Draisaitl
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
8
(9 meetings)
1
8
Tuch
Draisaitl
Last 9: Tuch 1-8 Draisaitl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
0
1
Tuch
Draisaitl
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
0
4
Tuch
Draisaitl
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
1
3
Tuch
Draisaitl
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tuch
Draisaitl
Edge
Even Strength
41.5% (65)
57.4% (1,010)
-15.9%
Power Play
16.7% (6)
56.2% (331)
-39.5%
Penalty Kill
41.2% (34)
54.5% (110)
-13.3%
On power play, Draisaitl has a +39.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Draisaitl shoots left. Tuch is 34.5% vs left-shot opponents (87).
Tuch shoots right. Draisaitl is 63.0% vs right-shot opponents (557).
Home / Away
Tuch
Draisaitl
Home
34.8% (46)
56.4% (734)
Away
44.1% (59)
57.5% (717)
By Period
Tuch
Draisaitl
P1
48.6%
55.6%
P2
43.9%
62.1%
P3
25.0%
52.4%
OT
0.0%
61.5%
Final 5 min
40.0%
55.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tuch
42.0%▲
40.0%
40.0%
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2024 | 3 | 02:52 | Neutral | Alex Tuch |
| Mar 9, 2024 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 3 | 17:28 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 3 | 10:08 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 3 | 02:42 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 2 | 15:11 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 2 | 03:27 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 1 | 08:19 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |