Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Tkachuk on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Tkachuk wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Draisaitl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 48.1% vs Draisaitl 55.2% (-8.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 58.4%
Defensive zone
Draisaitl 82.3%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 60.8%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 54.9%
45.1%
54.9%
Tkachuk
Draisaitl
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Tkachuk
Draisaitl
Last 9: Tkachuk 5-4 Draisaitl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
5
0
Tkachuk
Draisaitl
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
0
2
Tkachuk
Draisaitl
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
0
2
Tkachuk
Draisaitl
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Draisaitl
Edge
Even Strength
48.5% (99)
54.8% (675)
-6.3%
Power Play
46.7% (150)
60.2% (266)
-13.5%
On power play, Draisaitl has a +13.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Draisaitl shoots left. Tkachuk is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (138).
Tkachuk shoots left. Draisaitl is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (694).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Draisaitl
Home
50.7% (136)
57.3% (525)
Away
43.4% (113)
54.0% (506)
By Period
Tkachuk
Draisaitl
P1
45.9%
56.1%
P2
54.4%
54.5%
P3
42.2%
56.6%
OT
50.0%
54.5%
Final 5 min
41.8%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▼
60.5%
47.4%
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2021 | 1 | 12:55 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Apr 8, 2021 | 1 | 02:28 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Mar 8, 2021 | 3 | 09:04 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Feb 9, 2021 | 3 | 19:14 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Feb 9, 2021 | 3 | 18:47 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 2, 2021 | 1 | 05:33 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Jan 31, 2021 | 3 | 03:11 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 31, 2021 | 1 | 04:40 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 31, 2021 | 1 | 04:34 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |