Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Lindholm on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Lindholm wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Draisaitl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 53.9% vs Draisaitl 50.5% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lindholm 55.4%
Defensive zone
Lindholm 77.6%
Neutral zone
Lindholm 69.5%
Result
Elias Lindholm favored at 66.5%
66.5%
33.5%
Lindholm
Draisaitl
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Lindholm
Draisaitl
Last 8: Lindholm 6-2 Draisaitl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Lindholm
Draisaitl
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
4
0
Lindholm
Draisaitl
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Draisaitl
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (636)
51.5% (931)
+4.3%
Power Play
57.1% (161)
48.2% (282)
+8.9%
Penalty Kill
44.3% (140)
48.8% (127)
-4.5%
On power play, Lindholm has a +8.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Draisaitl shoots left. Lindholm is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (711).
Lindholm shoots right. Draisaitl is 54.5% vs right-shot opponents (473).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Draisaitl
Home
56.1% (490)
51.3% (637)
Away
52.3% (447)
49.8% (703)
By Period
Lindholm
Draisaitl
P1
53.2%
50.3%
P2
57.1%
47.4%
P3
53.0%
53.2%
OT
40.0%
57.7%
Final 5 min
55.4%
46.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
54.3%
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2019 | 2 | 13:50 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 19, 2019 | 2 | 08:56 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 19, 2019 | 1 | 15:18 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 9, 2018 | 1 | 04:07 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 17, 2018 | 3 | 19:11 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 17, 2018 | 3 | 10:27 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 17, 2018 | 3 | 05:46 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 17, 2018 | 2 | 17:58 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |